- 讲师:刘萍萍 / 谢楠
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Controlling vectors means controlling such things as mosquitoes and ticks, which can carry malaria or dengue fever. In developing countries, pathogens affecting agriculture and wildlife could adversely affect food security and the livelihoods of indigenous peoples. So how concerned should health officials be? Altizer says there's no simple answer. "I think that the answer to it really depends on the location. So where, when and what pathogen? So I think we're at a stage now where in the next five to ten years scientists will be able to move towards a predictive framework that will be able to answer questions about where in the world and what pathogens are responding and will continue to respond most strongly to climate change." Altizer says the effects of climate change will unfold over decades. So it's vital to follow long-term standardized data for many diseases and pathogens. She says crop management may be a good example to follow. It has a long history of tracking disease outbreaks, forecasting potential threats and responding to those threats early.
控制带菌者意味着控制蚊子和扁虱等这些可以携带疟疾和登革热病原体的东西。 在一些发展中国家,受到病原体侵袭的农作物和野生动物会给食品安全和当地居民的生活带来不利影响。 对此卫生部官员们有多担忧?Altizer表示,这个问题没有简单的答案。 “我认为答案取决于地区。何地,何时,何种病原体?我认为在未来的五到十年内,科学家们能够做出一个预测框架来回答这样的问题:在世界上的哪些地区有哪种病原体对气候的改变反应最为强烈,哪些病原体会继续作出反应。” Altizer表示气候变化的影响将会持续几十年。所以,长期追踪许多疾病和病原体的的标准化数据是至关重要的。她说,农作物的管理可能是个学习的榜样。农作物管理在追踪疾病的爆发,预测潜在威胁,和提早对威胁做出反应上有着悠久的历史。
责编:刘卓
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