解放军文职招聘考试美委关系改善尚需时日(2/2)

 That does not bode well for future relations, says Carl Meacham of the Center for Strategic and International Studies. "It is sort of sticking to the playbook that Chavismo has used in the past: always blame the United States or blame some foreign entity to distract them from problems that they have going on in Venezuela." Despite this, Venezuela is a major supplier of petroleum to the United States and even provides free heating oil to poor Americans through a non-profit group.

American University Professor Philip Brenner says this shows that relations between the two countries would be better if Washington recognizes certain realities. "I think the important thing to remember about Venezuela is that they have never even threatened to cut off our oil. Venezuela has done nothing to actually harm U.S. interests except to challenge U.S. dominance." Vice President Maduro, a former foreign minister and union leader, is expected to govern Venezuela for now and could be more pragmatic in his dealings with Washington, according to Michael Shifter.

"I think what we can expect from Maduro is a very tough stand, ideological stand, confrontational stand publicly, but behind the scenes I would imagine that he was gonna try to work things out, try to see, at least establish channels of communication including with the United States." Meanwhile, Maduro's accusations have been rejected by U.S. officials who have limited their comments to possible areas of cooperation such as counternarcotics and energy in the post-Chavez era.

战略与国际研究中心的卡尔•米查姆表示，那将不能为未来关系带来好兆头。“这有几分像过去查韦斯主义经常使用的剧本：总是指责美国或其他国家干涉委内瑞拉处理自己的内政。”

尽管如此，委内瑞拉仍是美国主要的石油供应商，它甚至通过一个非盈利组织为美国贫民提供免费的民用燃料油。美国大学教授菲利普•布伦纳说，如果华盛顿意识到了某些现实，那么两国的关系会变得更好些。“我想，关于委内瑞拉我们要记住的一件重要的事是，他们从未威胁过我们要切断石油供应。事实上，除却挑战了美国的权威外，委内瑞拉从未做过危害美国利益的事。”据迈克尔•谢夫特所说，担任前外交部长和工会领袖的副总统马杜罗目前被指望能管理委内瑞拉并且能够在处理华盛顿问题上更加务实。“我想我们能期望的是马杜罗能够表明其坚定的、有思想的、公然对抗的立场。但是我也想象到，在幕后他会尝试去解决问题，尝试去看清问题，至少会为与包括美国在内的国家的沟通建立渠道。”此外，美国官员驳斥了马杜罗对美国的的指控并且克制地仅对双方在后查韦斯时代可能合作的禁毒与能源领域发表了看法。